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The Ledger — Q2 2025

Q2 2025

The Ledger — Q2 2025

FINASENSE Research · September 14, 2025
Fed Funds: 4.33% · 10Y: 4.24% · 2Y: 3.72%
Q2 Annualization
Q2 income-based ratios (ROAA, NIM, NCO ratio) annualize the half-year YTD figure by ×2. They are not directly comparable to a Q1 reading (annualized ×4 off a single quarter); the year-over-year change is the cleaner comparison.

System at a Glance

Total Assets

$2,379.0B

Total Loans

$1,681.3B

Total Shares & Deposits

$2,022.0B

Net Income (YTD H1)

$8.9B

Net Worth Ratio

9.97%

ROAA (annualized)

0.75%

Delinquency Ratio (60+)

0.91%

NCO Ratio (annualized)

0.79%

Capital Adequacy

9.97%
System net worth ratio (equity / assets)

Up 68 bps year-over-year; equity grew 11.1% as the AFS markdown reversal continued

Net worth ratio at 9.97%, approaching 10%: The system net worth ratio rose 22 bps QoQ to 9.97% as of 6/30/2025, within a fraction of the 10% line and 68 bps above year-ago levels. Equity continued to outrun the balance sheet — up 11.1% year-over-year against 3.6% asset growth — as the unrealized securities loss kept unwinding. The regulatory net worth ratio stood at 11.21%, up 16 bps year-over-year. The tier spread is unchanged in shape: 13.5% at the under-$100M cohort, 9.1% at the over-$10B cohort.
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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

See also: System Signals — Q2 2025, Signal 3: Margin Gains Are Decelerating


Asset Quality

0.91%
60+ day delinquency ratio

Up 11 bps QoQ as the Q1 seasonal cure reversed; up 6 bps year-over-year

Delinquency rebounds to 0.91%: The 60+ day delinquency ratio climbed to 0.91% as of 6/30/2025, up 11 bps from Q1's seasonally depressed 0.81% — the expected post-refund reversal — and 6 bps above Q2 2024. The Q2-over-Q2 rise confirms the floor is ratcheting rather than holding. The over-$10B cohort reached 1.25%, the widest of any tier and 34 bps above the system; the mid-tiers sit near 0.76–0.82%. Annualized net charge-offs eased to 0.79%, down 4 bps QoQ, as the largest cohort's 1.33% loss rate moderated slightly.
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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

See also: System Signals — Q2 2025, Signal 1: Delinquency Approaching 1% — No Sign of Stabilization


Earnings

3.28%
Net interest margin (annualized, H1)

Up 26 bps year-over-year; the margin recovery continues but the increment is shrinking

Annualized NIM at 3.28%, ROAA at 0.75%: The half-year net interest margin annualized to 3.28%, up 26 bps year-over-year. Annualized ROAA improved to 0.75%, 7 bps above a year ago, as the margin tailwind finally outpaced provisioning — half-year net income of $8.9 billion ran 13% ahead of H1 2024. The earnings dispersion remains the watch item: the $500M–$1B tier earned just 0.61%, the weakest cohort, while the over-$10B tier held 0.79% despite carrying the system's heaviest charge-offs. The margin level is healthy; the QoQ increment is the smallest of the recovery so far.
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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

See also: System Signals — Q2 2025, Signal 3: Margin Gains Are Decelerating


Loan Growth & Composition

1.79%
System loan growth, Q2 2025

Reaccelerated from Q1's 0.85%; led by the $100M–$500M tier at 2.0%

Loans reaccelerated to 1.79% QoQ: System loans grew 1.79% quarter-over-quarter, more than double Q1's 0.85% pace as the spring lending season opened. The growth was broad this quarter: the $100M–$500M tier led at 2.0%, the over-$10B tier matched at 2.0%, and even the under-$100M cohort turned positive at 0.8% after a string of contractions. On a year-over-year basis loans rose 3.9%. Because lending outran deposits this quarter, the loans-to-assets ratio rose — the funding picture is covered below.
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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.


Liquidity

70.67%
System loans-to-assets ratio

Up 81 bps QoQ as deposit growth stalled to 0.2% while loans grew 1.8%

The funding gap reopens: deposits flat, loans growing: Shares and deposits grew just 0.2% QoQ to $2.02 trillion as the Q1 seasonal surge gave way to the usual Q2 lull, while loans grew 1.8% — so the loans-to-assets ratio rose 81 bps to 70.7%. With retail deposits flat, credit unions leaned back on wholesale funding for the first time in over a year: borrowings ticked up 3.1% QoQ to $90.1 billion, though they remain 27% below year-ago levels. If deposit growth stays soft, the funding mix question carries into the second half.
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Source: NCUA 5300 Call Report; FINASENSE analysis.

See also: System Signals — Q2 2025, Signal 2: The Funding Gap Reopens


Standardized Data Table — Q2 2025

Key CAMELS-aligned metrics by asset-size cohort for the quarter ending June 30, 2025. Q2 income-based ratios are annualized (×2). Growth rates are single-quarter (QoQ).

Standardized Data Table — CAMELS Metrics by Asset-Size Cohort, Q2 2025

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This report is provided for informational and educational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, regulatory, or examination advice, nor should it be relied upon as the basis for any decision.
FINASENSE is not affiliated with the National Credit Union Administration (NCUA). Financial data is sourced from NCUA 5300 Call Report filings as submitted by individual credit unions and is not guaranteed as to accuracy or completeness. Ratio definitions and account classifications reference the NCUA Financial Performance Report (FPR) Chart of Accounts. All aggregation, analysis, and derived metrics are independently computed by FINASENSE and may differ from NCUA-published figures. Interpretations reflect the views of FINASENSE and not those of the NCUA.
This report does not consider the specific circumstances of any individual credit union and is not tailored advice. FINASENSE has no financial relationship with, and receives no compensation from, any institution referenced.
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